There
is no denying the fact that the Pilot Tourism
Satellite Account (TSA) for Bangladesh in the form of various tables
suggested
by the World Tourism Organization (WTO) is presented in this report. Dis
aggregated figures of various components of tourism as well as method
of
arriving at estimates of tourism sector’s role in the economy are
accessible. Following standard TSA
methodology, we have estimated that for Bangladesh Economy tourism value added to be1.26 percent of GDP in terms of direct impact, and1.33 percent of GDP
when indirect effects are also included. Tourism’s share in total number
of jobs is 4.13 percent, rising
to 4.39 percent when indirect effects are also included.
Since the TSA framework is new and not much familiar, we
provide a brief introduction to the concepts and issues. Next, the methodology
and the basic findings of the TSA for are presented in the report.
In this chapter we provide a snapshot idea about tourism and its
contributions to economic upliftment in an economy in an economy.
1.1
About Tourism
Tourism Industry is flourishing very rapidly and posthumously all over
the world. The scenario of the world tourism industry is always in a state of
flux, ever changing. It is reckoned that end of 21st century will see the world
tourism industry generating nearly 500 million job opportunities for the
people. It is also assumed that the contribution towards the GDP by the World
tourism industry will be approximately above 15%. However, in order to meet the
requirements, constant changes in the travel and tourism policies need to be
reframed and restructured. Tourism is a vital source of income for many
countries and it generates income through the consumption of goods and services
by tourists, the taxes levied on business in the tourism industry, and the
opportunity for employment in the service industries associated with tourism.
Some of the services offered by these industries include transportation
services such as cruise ships and taxis, accommodation services such as hotels,
restaurants, bars and entertainment venues and other hospitalities.
Global Tourism Industry
International tourism is now predicted to increase in the 3-5 % range
next year, according to IPK’s World Travel Monitor and UNWTO forecasts. IPK’s
Global Travel Confidence Indicator lies at 103 points for 2011, including 3% to
5% growth in world outbound travel. The main drivers will be the improving
world economy and low fares from budget airlines while safety and environment
concerns are not expected to impact significantly. Similarly, the UNWTO now
forecasts growth of 4-5% in international arrivals for 2011, which would put
the sector back at the long-term growth rate of 4% recorded between 2000 and
2009. Air passenger volumes, according to Boeing, are likely to rise about 5%
in 2011.
Key figures on global overnight travel (2010 changes compared to 2009
changes):
All domestic and outbound trips: 9.8 billion (+5% vs. -1% - new all-time
high)
- Outbound trips:
0.935 billion (+7% vs. -4% - new all-time high)
- Outbound nights: 5
billion (+5% vs. -7% - new all-time high expected for 2011)
- Outbound
spending: € 781 billion (+7% vs. -9% - new all-time high expected for 2011)
Travel and tourism is the lifeblood of many countries. Clear
understanding about tourism, its role in the economy and steps needed to be
taken for promotion of tourism are very important.
Tourism is a social, cultural and
economic phenomenon related to the movement of people to places outside their
usual place of residence pleasure being the usual motivation.
The activities carried out by a visitor
may or may not involve a market transaction, and may be different from or
similar to those normally carried out in his/her regular routine of life. If
they are similar, their frequency or intensity is different when traveling.
These activities represent the actions and behaviors of people in preparation
for and during a trip in their capacity as consumers.
Tourism has an impact for the economy,
for the natural and built environment, for the local population at the places
visited, and for the visitors themselves.
Due to this range of impacts, and the
wide spectrum of stakeholders involved, there is a need for a holistic approach
to tourism development, management and monitoring. This approach is supported
by UNWTO in order to formulate and implement national and local tourism
policies.
Having more and reliable statistics is
essential for policymakers to make effective decisions. Only with sufficient
and adequate data that generate credible statistics is it possible to undertake
different types of analysis of tourism. This is essential in order to evaluate
the different aspects of tourism and to support and improve policy and decision
making.
Tourism statistics are necessary for
designing marketing strategies, strengthening interinstitutional relations,
evaluating the efficiency and effectiveness of management decisions, and
measuring tourism throughout the national economy.
Travel & Tourism is an important economic activity in most countries
around the world. As well as its direct economic impact, the industry has
significant indirect and induced impacts. The UN Statistics Division-approved
Tourism Satellite Accounting methodology (TSA: RMF 2008) quantifies only the
direct contribution of Travel & Tourism. But WTTC recognizes that Travel
& Tourism's total contribution is much greater, and aims to capture its
indirect and induced impacts through its annual research.
1.2 Understanding Contribution of Tourism
Tourism remains the fastest growing service industry in the economies of
most of developing countries; hence more research has gone into the operations
of the sector in order to examine its economic significance and potential. (Armstrong,
1974) It is known that the industry provides an important impetus to growth in
other sectors such as agriculture, transportation, retailing and manufacturing
and is therefore seen as a key component of economic development. It plays a
major role for the generation of foreign exchange which directly facilities the
improvement of foreign reserves of said economics. Similarly, the sector has
shown greater improvements in employment generation (direct and indirect),
revenue accruing to tourist sites, and increase in number of hotels and similar
establishments and other tourism supply establishments.
Tourism is a fast growing economic
activity in many countries around the word, and plays an important role in the
economic and technological development of nations. As Edge points out, tourism
serves to stimulate the development of basic infrastructure, contributes to the
growth of domestic industries, attracts foreign investment, and facilitates the
transfer of technology and information.
Direct Contribution
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP refers to the
‘internal’ spending on Travel & Tourism (total spending within a particular
country on Travel & Tourism by residents and non-residents for business and
leisure purposes) as well as government 'individual' spending - spending by
government on Travel & Tourism services directly linked to visitors, such as
cultural (e.g. museums) or recreational (e.g. national parks).
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP is calculated to
be consistent with the output, as expressed in National Accounting, of
tourism-characteristic sectors such as hotels, airlines, airports, travel
agents and leisure and recreation services that deal directly with tourists.
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP is calculated from total
internal spending by ‘netting out’ the purchases made by the different tourism
sectors. This measure is consistent with the definition of Tourism GDP,
specified in the 2008. Tourism Satellite Account: Recommended Methodological
Framework (TSA: RMF 2008).
Total Contribution
The total contribution of Travel & Tourism includes its ‘wider
impacts’ (i.e. the indirect and induced impacts) on the economy. The ‘indirect’
contribution includes the GDP and jobs supported by: Government 'collective'
spending, which helps Travel & Tourism activity in many different ways as
it is made on behalf of the ‘community at large’ – e.g. tourism marketing and
promotion, aviation, administration, security services, resort area security
services, resort area sanitation services, etc; Domestic purchases of goods and
services by the sectors dealing directly with tourists - including, for
example, purchases of food and cleaning services by hotels, of fuel and
catering services by airlines, and IT services by travel agents.
Travel & Tourism investment spending – an important aspect of both
current and future activity that includes investment activity such as the
purchase of new aircraft and construction of new hotels; The ‘induced’
contribution measures the GDP and jobs supported by the spending of those who
are directly or indirectly employed by the Travel & Tourism industry.
Tourism is one of the major foreign
exchange earners and main growth sector for many countries especially the small
islands which are with required natural and cultural resources. The world
tourism market has grown at an average of 3.7 percent over the past five years
and is projected to grow by an average of 4.9 percent over the next five years,
with Asia and the Pacific regions recording the fastest growth rate. According
to WTTC (World Travel and Tourism Council 2010) Travel & tourism actively
was hit hard by the global slump, Even so, the sector worldwide still provided
over 235 million jobs last year.
Tourism expenditures generate income to
the host economy and can stimulate the investment necessary to finance growth
in other economic sectors. Some countries seek to accelerate this growth by
requiring visitors to bring in certain a certain amount of foreign currency for
each day of their stay. An important indicator of the role of international
tourism is its generation of foreign exchange earnings. Tourism is one of the
top five export categories for as many as 83% of countries and is a main source
of foreign exchange earnings for at least 38% of countries.
Australian scenarios
Australia’s tourism
industry performed well during 2011–12 with an 8.0 per cent growth in total
visitor expenditure over the previous year. Most of this growth was in the
domestic market which demonstrated a substantial increase from its lows of
recent years.
In relation to inbound
tourism, strong performance from Asia, in particular China, more than offset
falls from some of Australia’s more traditional markets in Europe that led to a
small overall increase in inbound tourism during 2011–12 over the previous year.
This year’s State of the
Industry Report shows that overall; the industry’s performance was much
improved over the previous year on most indicators. This was achieved despite
the continuing high value of the Australian dollar and a range of challenges in
the macroeconomic environment.
Macroeconomic challenges
Four years on from the
onset of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), the global economy is still reeling
and recovery in the world’s largest economy, the United States, remains muted.
The ongoing sovereign risk crisis and return to recessionary conditions in key
Australia, the relatively solid performance of the Australian economy
underpinned by the mining boom is a positive force for tourism. However, this
is offset by the fact that the Australian dollar remains at or near record
cross-rates with most of Australia’s main tourism partners including the United
States (US dollar) and Europe (Euro).
International
tourism
Australia’s international
visitor arrivals in 2011–12 increased by 1.2 per cent (to a record 6.0 million;
Figure ES2) and revenues in this sector increased by 1.5 per cent to $26.6
billion.
There was substantial
growth in the China market, both in terms of arrivals (up 16.7 per cent) and
expenditure (up 9.1 per cent to $3.8 billion). There was also solid growth in
expenditure from the United States and New Zealand (up 7.5 and 3.8 per cent
respectively). However, this growth was largely offset by declines from
Australia’s more traditional markets, particularly from the United Kingdom
(down 6.6 per cent).
§
Travel & Tourism activity was hit hard by the global slump, with
Travel & Tourism economy GDP contracting by 4.8% in 2009. Even so, the
sector worldwide still provided over 235 million jobs last year.
§
Travel & Tourism’s recovery - like that of the world economy - is
expected to be a gradual one. After growth of just 0.5% in 2010, Travel &
Tourism economy GDP is likely to grow by 3.2% in 2011, with momentum building
from the second half of 2010 and into next year.
1.3 Objectives of the Assignment
The overall objective of the study is
to capture reliable data from secondary sources and through conducting sample
surveys as a part of developing a pilot tourism satellite accounts for
Bangladesh. The reference period is the financial year 2011-12. The specific
and detailed objectives of the study include the followings:
v To
provide a coherent and credible set of tourism accounts that can be compared
across countries
v To
develop quantitative estimates of tourism value added, thus analyze the
importance of tourism in economy
v To
provide detailed information on employment in tourism industries and the role
of tourism played in job creation for different type of workers
To estimate
other variables necessary for the set of account
Definitions and Conceptual Framework
2.1 Basic Ideas behind Tourism
We present herein a lucid account of various definitions and concepts
associated with Tourism world.
Terms and Terminology
- Travel and Tourism
Travel is an
activity done by a person moving from one geographic location to another. The
person doing such an activity is a Traveler.
A
Trip is a to-and-fro activity. It is the travel by a person from the time
of departure till he comes back to the origin. It is thus a Round Trip.
Domestic Travel is done by a resident
within the country of residence. Travel
to a country by non-resident is called
Inbound Travel. Travel done by a person outside his country of residence is
called Outbound Travel. Thus, a
person doing above types pf traveling is called a Domestic, Inbound and Outbound Traveler.
Thus, an Inbound Trip refers to travel between arriving in a country and
leaving it. But, Domestic and Outbound trip
refer to leaving place of residence and returning. Domestic travel has ultimate
destination within own country of residence but outbound has destination
outside country of reference.
International
and domestics visitors
International travel consists of both
inbound and outbound travel. Country of residences of the traveler is different
from the countries visited. From perspective of country of reference an
international traveler is either inbound or outbound.
With respect to the country of
reference an international traveler qualifies as an international visitor if he is on tourism trip (less than one year,
purpose are business, personal, leisure etc and not employment) and if he is a
non-resident traveling in the country of reference or a resident traveling
outside of it.
A Visitor
takes a trip outside his usual environment for less than one year for purposes
other than employment in the places visited .These, trips taken by visitors
called Tourism Trips.
So, a domestic, inbound and outbound
traveler on a tourism trip is called domestic, inbound and outbound visitors.
Thus, according to the above, a travel
becomes Domestic, Inbound or Outbound
Tourist.
Hence, tourism is a subset of travel
and visitors form a subset of travelers. A visitor becomes a Tourist if his stay is overnight .Thus,
we can classify as,
Domestic visitor becomes Domestics Tourist
Inbound visitors become Inbound Tourist.
Outbound visitors become Outbound Tourist.
This classification depends on purpose
of visit and staying duration.
So, a Tourist is An Overnight Visitor or a Same Day Visitor.
- Economic Territory
It is the geographical area for which
measurement is done (country of reference).
- Economy
It refers to economic reference as used
in balance of payment and national accounts. It also refers to agents who are
residents of the country of reference.
- Usual environment
This is the geographical area within
which an individual leads his regular life routines.
- Tourism trips and visits
Trips taken
by visitors are tourism trips.
An
inbound tourism trip refers to travel of visitor from time of arriving in a country to the
time of leaving.
Main destination of a tourism trip is the place key
to the whole trip.
In domestic trip main destination is
the country of residence of the visitor. Both inbound and outbound trip have
main destination outside the country of residence of the visitors.
An outbound tourism trip might include
visits to places within the country of residence. A domestic trip might include
visits of place outside the country of residence of the visitor. Here main
destination is country of residence.
Forms of tourism
(a)Domestic Tourism comprises the activities of a resident visitor within the country
of reference either as part of a domestic tourism trip or part of an outbound
tourism trip.
(b)Inbound Tourism comprises the activities of a non-resident visitor within the
country of reference on an inbound tourism trips.
(c)Outbound Tourism, comprises the activities of a resident visitor outside the
country of reference, either as part of an outbound tourism trip or as part of
a domestic tourism trip.
(d)Internal Tourism comprises domestic tourism and inbound tourism, that is, the
activities of resident and non-resident visitors within the country of
reference as part of domestic or international tourism trips.
(e)National Tourism comprises domestic tourism and outbound tourism, that is, the
activities of resident visitors within and outside the country of reference,
either as part of domestic or outbound tourism trips.
(f)International Tourism comprises inbound tourism and outbound tourism, that is,
the activities of resident visitors outside the country of reference, either as
part of domestic or outbound tourism trips and the activities of non-resident
visitors within the country of reference on inbound tourism trips.
(g)Tourism Internal comprises
of Inbound, Domestic and domestic part of outbound tourism.
Demand perspective:
It deals with “what is wanted by
tourist”.
Tourism expenditure
To measure contribution of tourism to
economy requires the use of monetary values.
Bangladesh
Domestic Tourism Expenditure.
- Made purely by residents of Bangladesh within Bangladesh.
Inbound Tourism Expenditures
- Non-residents (from abroad) expenses made in Bangladesh.
- Bangladeshi nationals residing abroad expenses within Bangladesh
Outbound Tourism Expenditure
- Bangladeshi nationals going abroad and their expenses made abroad.
Internal Tourism Expenditure
- Bangladesh residents and non-residents make expenses within Bangladesh. Such non-residents can be both Bangladeshi national and foreign nationals.
National Tourism Expenditure
- Bangladeshi travelers make expenses within Bangladesh and outside Bangladesh.
Tourism
balance of trade
Tourism
imports comprise of goods and services purchased by residents on a trip outside
the country whilst tourism exports comprise
goods and services purchased by non-residents visitors in the country. The
tourism balance of trade is defined as tourism exports net of tourism imports.
Supply
perspectives of Tourism
Economic contribution of tourism can be
traced and measured by responses to demand of goods and services of visitors.
Thus, supply is providing goods and services to visitor’s .These goods and
services make up tourism expenditure.
Thus,
supply analysis needs to,
1. Show the conditions that enable
producers provide goods and services to visitors.
2. Describe the processes, production
costs and economic performances of suppliers in tourism industries.
Gross output
Gross output for the tourism sector
includes the value of goods and services produced by tourism industries
(tourism output) and imported items purchased by tourists.
Intermediate consumption
Intermediate consumption of industries
covers non-durable goods and services used up in the production process. For
this TSA, intermediate consumption of industries (providing the product) will
be calculated as a percentage of gross output assuming the same ratios of the
SUT.
Tourism Direct Gross Value Added (TDGVA)
Tourism Direct Gross Value Added is
calculated as the difference between the gross output and intermediate
consumption. It adds the parts of gross value added generated by tourism
industries and other industries of the economy that serve directly visitors.
Valuation
Gross output is valued at basic prices,
that is, the amount receivable by the producer exclusive of taxes payable and
inclusive of subsidies receivable on the products. Intermediate consumption is
at purchaser’s price, that is, it includes trade margins of wholesalers and
retailers as well as additional transport charges payable by the purchaser and
non-deductible VAT.
2.2 What
is TSA?
The Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA) is
an accounting framework adopted by the structure and role of tourism in an
economy. The need for a satellite account arises because it is not an industry
in the way industry is defined in the system of national accounts. Instead,
tourism is a demand based concept defined not by its output but by its use.
Tourism differs from many economic activities in that it makes use of a diverse
range of facilities across a large number of industrial sectors. As a result,
it is not possible to identify tourism as a single industry in the national
accounts, so that its value to the economy is not revealed. Industries defined
in national accounts, such as air transport, hotels and restaurants, etc
produce the same output irrespective of whether it is consumed by tourists or
non tourists. While the total output of these industries is usually captured by
the national accounts, it is only the consumption by tourists that defines the
tourism economy, e.g. the part of total value added attributed to tourism
activities. Insofar as tourism is an economic phenomenon, it is already
embodied in the national accounts but not in a manner readily apparent because
commodities and services that are produced and consumed in meeting tourism
demand are buried in some other elements of the core accounts.
Objective
of TSA
Followings
are the specific general objectives of constructing a TSA.
-
It provides credible data on the impact of tourism and the associated
employment.
-
It is a standard framework for organizing statistical data on tourism?
-
It is a new international standard endorsed by the UN statistical
commission?
-
It is a powerful instrument for designing economic policies related to
tourism development?
-
It provides data on tourism’s impact on a nation’s balance of payments.
-
It provides information on tourism human resources characteristics.
Who
can benefit from it and how?
Total economy can benefit from TSA.
The TSA provides decision-makers with a
tool for:
·
Policy making
·
Reliable data on the impact of tourism on the economy and on employment
·
Measuring domestic and no-resident tourism and the associated employment
·
Comparisons with other economic sectors
·
And in the future, international comparisons.
2.3 System of National Accounts (SNA) & SUT
A TSA analyses in
detail all the aspect of demand of goods and services associated with tourism
activities and how this demand is met by other economic activities.
A TSA provides:
(1) Macroeconomic
aggregates that describe the size and the economic contribution of different
forms of tourism.
(2) Data on
tourism consumption, and how the demand is met by domestics supply and imports.
Detailed production accounts of the tourism industries including linkages with
other productive economic activities.
(3) It is linked
to system of national account (SNA). SNA is used worldwide and allows
international compatibility among statistical systems. UN statistical
commission has developed a set of methodological document for use worldwide.
TSA is an
extension of SNA to organize information on tourist demand and supply. TSA is
composed of 10 tables as recommended by UNWTO.
What is SNA?
Comprehensive framework for production, investment, income, stocks and flows of financial & non-financial assets. It divides the economy into 5 institutional units (HH, Got, financial & non-financial corporate bodies, NPISH).
SNA has 3 accounts
-
Current accounts
-
Accumulation accounts
-
Balance sheets
Current account includes production, income distribution and use of income. It emphasizes production account which emphasizes VA as a balancing factor. Only output & Intermediate consumption are important here.
Distribution of income concerns distribution of VA (labor, capital, taxes). Use of income shows final consumption (Got, HH and NPISH).
SNA provides a very useful indicator & that is,
GDP= All VAs + All final goods & services+ All Primary incomes generated.
Rossouw, R. and M. Saayman (2011),
“Assimilation of tourism satellite
accounts and applied general equilibrium models to inform tourism policy
analysis,” Tourism Economics, v. 17, n. 4, pp. 753-783.
Round, J. (2003), “Social accounting matrices and SAM-based
multiplier analysis” in F. Bourguignon and L. Pereira da Silva, editors,
The Impact of Economic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Evaluation
Techniques and Tools, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
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